A new statistical study of exoplanets found by an innovative technique called gravitational microlensing suggests that so-called ‘cold Neptunes’ are likely the most common type of planet to form in the icy outer regions of extrasolar planetary systems.

Neptune-mass planets like the one shown in this artist’s rendering may be the most common in the icy regions of planetary systems; beyond a certain distance from a young star, water and other substances remain frozen, leading to an abundant population of icy objects that can collide and form the cores of new planets; in the foreground, an icy body left over from this period drifts past the planet. Image credit: NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center / Francis Reddy.
Gravitational microlensing takes advantage of the light-bending effects of massive objects predicted by Einstein’s general theory of relativity. It occurs when a foreground star, the lens, randomly aligns with a distant background star, the source, as seen from our planet.
As the lensing star drifts along in its orbit around the galaxy, the alignment shifts over days to weeks, changing the apparent brightness of the source.
The precise pattern of these changes provides astronomers with clues about the nature of the lensing star, including any planets it may host.
“We mainly determine the mass ratio of the planet to the host star and their separation,” said Dr. David Bennett, an astrophysicist at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center and the University of Notre Dame and co-author of the study, published in the Astrophysical Journal.
“For about 40% of microlensing planets, we can determine the mass of the host star and therefore the mass of the planet.”
More than 50 exoplanets have been discovered using microlensing compared to thousands detected by other techniques, such as detecting the motion or dimming of a host star caused by the presence of planets.
Because the necessary alignments between stars are rare and occur randomly, astronomers must monitor millions of stars for the tell-tale brightness changes that signal a microlensing event.
However, microlensing holds great potential. It can detect planets hundreds of times more distant than most other methods, allowing astronomers to investigate a broad swath of our Milky Way galaxy.
The technique can locate exoplanets at smaller masses and greater distances from their host stars, and it’s sensitive enough to find planets floating through the galaxy on their own, unbound to stars.

This graph plots 4,769 exoplanets and planet candidates according to their masses and relative distances from the snow line, the point where water and other materials freeze solid (vertical cyan line); gravitational microlensing is particularly sensitive to planets in this region; planets are shaded according to the discovery technique listed at right; masses for unconfirmed planetary candidates from NASA’s Kepler mission are calculated based on their sizes; for comparison, the graph also includes the planets of our Solar System. Image credit: NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center.
“We’ve found the apparent sweet spot in the sizes of cold planets,” said study lead author Dr. Daisuke Suzuki, a researcher at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center and the University of Maryland Baltimore County.
“Contrary to some theoretical predictions, we infer from current detections that the most numerous have masses similar to Neptune, and there doesn’t seem to be the expected increase in number at lower masses.”
“We conclude that Neptune-mass planets in these outer orbits are about 10 times more common than Jupiter-mass planets in Jupiter-like orbits.”
From 2007 to 2012, the Microlensing Observations in Astrophysics (MOA) collaboration issued 3,300 alerts informing the astronomical community about ongoing microlensing events.
Dr. Bennett, Dr. Suzuki and their colleagues identified 1,474 microlensing events, with 22 displaying clear planetary signals. This includes four planets that were never previously reported.
To study these events in greater detail, the astronomers included data from the other major microlensing project operating over the same period, the Optical Gravitational Lensing Experiment (OGLE), as well as additional observations from other projects designed to follow up on MOA and OGLE alerts.
From this information, the authors determined the frequency of planets compared to the mass ratio of the planet and star as well as the distances between them.
For a typical planet-hosting star with about 60% the Sun’s mass, the typical microlensing planet is a world between 10 and 40 times Earth’s mass. For comparison, Neptune in our own Solar System has the equivalent mass of 17 Earths.
The results imply that cold Neptune-mass worlds are likely to be the most common types of planets beyond the so-called snow line, the point where water remained frozen during planetary formation.
In our Solar System, the snow line is thought to have been located at about 2.7 times Earth’s mean distance from the Sun, placing it in the middle of the main asteroid belt today.
“Beyond the snow line, materials that were gaseous closer to the star condense into solid bodies, increasing the amount of material available to start the planet-building process,” Dr. Suzuki said.
“This is where we think planetary formation was most efficient, and it’s also the region where microlensing is most sensitive.”
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D. Suzuki et al. 2016. The Exoplanet Mass-Ratio Function from the MOA-II Survey: Discovery of a Break and Likely Peak at a Neptune Mass. ApJ 833, 145; doi: 10.3847/1538-4357/833/2/145
This article is based on a press-release from NASA.